Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Wright 45.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 83.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Eller
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Wright
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Eller
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
43.9% (758)
+8.9%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
50.7% (67)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
40.0% (5)
+5.5%
On power play, Eller has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Eller
Wright
Home
52.6% (340)
46.3% (406)
Away
51.8% (411)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Eller
Wright
P1
52.4%
46.8%
P2
54.1%
42.6%
P3
50.0%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |