Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Wright 43.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 68.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 95.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 92.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Eller
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Eller
Wright
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Wright
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Eller
Wright
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
42.6% (1,318)
+8.5%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
45.8% (131)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
33.3% (6)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Eller
Wright
Home
51.4% (6,118)
44.2% (746)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Eller
Wright
P1
51.2%
44.4%
P2
50.1%
40.7%
P3
50.2%
44.0%
OT
56.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |