Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Johnson 48.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Eller
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Johnson
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
48.5% (776)
+4.4%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
56.7% (157)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
26.4% (53)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Eller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Eller shoots left. Johnson is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Eller
Johnson
Home
49.7% (181)
48.8% (482)
Away
51.3% (228)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Eller
Johnson
P1
54.2%
50.3%
P2
46.5%
48.5%
P3
49.6%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |