Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Johnson 50.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Eller
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Eller
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
47.4% (78)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
57.6% (33)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
100.0% (2)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Eller
Johnson
Home
56.4% (486)
50.9% (57)
Away
51.2% (537)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Eller
Johnson
P1
55.1%
44.1%
P2
55.3%
59.4%
P3
51.7%
52.3%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |