Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.7%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 29-22 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 73.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Eller
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
22
(51 meetings)
29
22
Eller
Johnson
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
7
13
Eller
Johnson
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
13
4
Eller
Johnson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
9
5
Eller
Johnson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
54.6% (885)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
42.3% (707)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Eller
Johnson
Home
51.4% (6,118)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Eller
Johnson
P1
51.2%
50.1%
P2
50.1%
50.6%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
56.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |