Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Dauphin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 44.4% vs Johansen 52.4% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.5%
Defensive zone
Dauphin 56.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Dauphin
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (214)
49.4% (1,010)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
62.3% (236)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
29.2% (24)
67.2% (67)
-38.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dauphin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Dauphin shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Dauphin
Johansen
Home
47.2% (125)
54.7% (655)
Away
36.9% (122)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Dauphin
Johansen
P1
42.0%
52.2%
P2
42.3%
50.7%
P3
43.0%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
42.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%