Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Dauphin wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 52.1% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.4%
Defensive zone
Dauphin 73.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.0%
Result
Laurent Dauphin favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Dauphin
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (152)
59.8% (625)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
51.9% (27)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Dauphin has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dauphin is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Dauphin shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Dauphin
Johansen
Home
52.9% (87)
60.3% (436)
Away
54.3% (70)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Dauphin
Johansen
P1
59.0%
61.3%
P2
46.8%
60.4%
P3
57.1%
56.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%