Casey Mittelstadt vs Leo Carlsson

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor Carlsson leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Carlsson 63.1%
Defensive zone Carlsson 63.9%
Neutral zone Carlsson 64.0%
Result Leo Carlsson favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Mittelstadt Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 9 (11 meetings)
2
9
Mittelstadt Carlsson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
4
Mittelstadt Carlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Mittelstadt Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
3
Mittelstadt Carlsson
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
41.8% (648)
+2.9%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
37.3% (51)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.7% (31)
+1.3%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Home
46.0% (491)
44.5% (362)
Away
42.4% (512)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
P1
44.0%
46.3%
P2
46.4%
35.1%
P3
41.9%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
43.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
44.2%
Carlsson
38.0%
39.5%
41.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2025 3 07:13 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 26, 2025 3 03:43 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Mar 26, 2025 2 17:57 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 3 14:47 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 3 14:36 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 3 07:25 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 3 01:32 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 2 10:57 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 1 15:57 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 20, 2024 1 12:48 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Dec 20, 2024 1 04:06 Offensive Leo Carlsson