Scouting Report
Logan Cooley holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Cooley 45.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 77.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Cooley 65.5%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Carlsson
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carlsson
Cooley
Last 6: Carlsson 4-2 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Cooley
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Cooley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
44.1% (632)
-2.3%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
46.3% (108)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
55.0% (20)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Cooley is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Cooley
Home
44.5% (362)
46.4% (418)
Away
38.3% (368)
42.7% (342)
By Period
Carlsson
Cooley
P1
46.3%
44.3%
P2
35.1%
45.6%
P3
43.9%
44.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |