Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 44.5%). Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Cooley 45.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 65.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.4%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Carlsson
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Carlsson
Cooley
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
2
Carlsson
Cooley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Cooley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Cooley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
43.9% (392)
+1.6%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
46.5% (71)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
57.1% (7)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Carlsson shoots left. Cooley is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Cooley
Home
42.5% (428)
45.0% (211)
Away
46.4% (399)
44.0% (259)
By Period
Carlsson
Cooley
P1
45.4%
44.0%
P2
39.7%
49.7%
P3
48.5%
38.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |