Leo Carlsson vs Nikita Alexandrov
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nikita Alexandrov holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Alexandrov 45.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Alexandrov 76.3%
Defensive zone
Alexandrov 73.8%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 68.1%
Result
Nikita Alexandrov favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
40.7% (91)
-6.3%
On even strength, Alexandrov has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Alexandrov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Home
38.6% (254)
53.2% (47)
Away
31.6% (307)
27.3% (44)
By Period
Carlsson
Alexandrov
P1
35.9%
50.0%
P2
33.8%
22.7%
P3
34.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |