Leo Carlsson vs Nikita Alexandrov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Alexandrov 41.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 52.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 61.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Alexandrov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
37.6% (237)
+3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
33.3% (3)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
0.0% (1)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Alexandrov is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Alexandrov
Home
42.2% (1,044)
41.7% (108)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
33.8% (133)
By Period
Carlsson
Alexandrov
P1
43.3%
45.7%
P2
36.5%
27.7%
P3
43.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |