Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 57.6%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 60.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 58.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Carlsson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carlsson
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
39.0% (77)
+6.5%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
35.4% (48)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
40.9% (22)
-7.6%
On power play, Carlsson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Carlsson shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Reinhart
Home
42.5% (428)
35.7% (84)
Away
46.4% (399)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Carlsson
Reinhart
P1
45.4%
42.6%
P2
39.7%
34.7%
P3
48.5%
37.3%
Final 5 min
39.0%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |