Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.4% vs 41.2%). Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 62.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 59.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Carlsson
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
44.1% (324)
-2.3%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
40.3% (72)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
33.9% (118)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Reinhart
Home
44.5% (362)
40.5% (232)
Away
38.3% (368)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Carlsson
Reinhart
P1
46.3%
46.4%
P2
35.1%
32.6%
P3
43.9%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%