Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.2% vs Crosby 55.3% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 87.6%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 87.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 87.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Carlsson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Carlsson
Crosby
Last 10: Carlsson 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Carlsson
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Carlsson
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Carlsson
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (647)
53.5% (961)
-7.6%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
64.1% (237)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
64.3% (14)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Carlsson shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Crosby
Home
43.0% (414)
56.4% (622)
Away
46.4% (399)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Carlsson
Crosby
P1
45.9%
56.0%
P2
39.7%
52.6%
P3
49.0%
58.3%
OT
36.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▬
40.0%
44.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |