Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 65.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 76.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 76.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Carlsson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carlsson
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Carlsson
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Carlsson
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
56.2% (1,451)
-14.4%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
61.4% (293)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
55.3% (38)
-16.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Crosby
Home
44.5% (362)
59.1% (939)
Away
38.3% (368)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Carlsson
Crosby
P1
46.3%
54.9%
P2
35.1%
60.8%
P3
43.9%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |