Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +23.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Crosby 57.8% (-23.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 58.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 67.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 67.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Carlsson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Carlsson
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Carlsson
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Carlsson
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
57.8% (1,437)
-23.4%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
60.9% (381)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (54)
-10.0%
On even strength, Crosby has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Crosby
Home
38.6% (254)
59.2% (985)
Away
31.6% (307)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Carlsson
Crosby
P1
35.9%
57.3%
P2
33.8%
59.5%
P3
34.3%
58.5%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |