Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Eklund 37.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 56.5%
Neutral zone
Eklund 50.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Carlsson
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carlsson
Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Eklund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Eklund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
30.8% (208)
+3.6%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
47.1% (17)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
0.0% (5)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Eklund is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Eklund
Home
38.6% (254)
31.2% (125)
Away
31.6% (307)
31.4% (105)
By Period
Carlsson
Eklund
P1
35.9%
29.5%
P2
33.8%
27.2%
P3
34.3%
37.1%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
31.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | William Eklund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |