Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Eklund 36.0% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 57.8%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 65.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Carlsson
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carlsson
Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Eklund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Eklund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
30.6% (265)
+10.4%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
50.0% (22)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
15.4% (13)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Eklund is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Eklund
Home
42.2% (1,044)
31.3% (166)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
31.3% (134)
By Period
Carlsson
Eklund
P1
43.3%
29.6%
P2
36.5%
28.2%
P3
43.2%
37.2%
OT
40.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
31.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | William Eklund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |