Leo Carlsson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Carlsson
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
47.2% (127)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
50.0% (2)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Girgensons
Home
44.5% (362)
50.0% (80)
Away
38.3% (368)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Carlsson
Girgensons
P1
46.3%
40.5%
P2
35.1%
54.3%
P3
43.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%