Auston Matthews vs Leon Draisaitl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 79.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 62.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Matthews
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Matthews
Draisaitl
Last 8: Matthews 3-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Matthews
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
55.9% (835)
+3.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
61.8% (228)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
50.0% (40)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Matthews
Draisaitl
Home
60.0% (520)
55.1% (508)
Away
59.3% (452)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Matthews
Draisaitl
P1
60.2%
55.8%
P2
58.2%
55.7%
P3
60.4%
59.0%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |