Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 54.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 86.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 74.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Howden
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Howden
Draisaitl
Last 7: Howden 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Howden
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Howden
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
57.4% (1,010)
-10.1%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
56.2% (331)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
54.5% (110)
-28.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Howden
Draisaitl
Home
44.3% (176)
56.4% (734)
Away
45.8% (190)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Howden
Draisaitl
P1
43.1%
55.6%
P2
43.1%
62.1%
P3
48.1%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Brett Howden |