Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs McLeod 59.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 83.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Draisaitl
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
McLeod
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Draisaitl
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
61.5% (792)
-9.1%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
65.2% (23)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
55.6% (153)
+5.4%
On even strength, McLeod has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McLeod
Home
54.5% (778)
62.0% (460)
Away
55.3% (692)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Draisaitl
McLeod
P1
54.6%
61.5%
P2
56.1%
63.6%
P3
53.3%
56.2%
OT
66.7%
73.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |