Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs McLeod 63.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 74.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Draisaitl
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Draisaitl
McLeod
Last 9: Draisaitl 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Draisaitl
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
64.8% (509)
-7.4%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
68.4% (19)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
65.3% (124)
-10.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McLeod
Home
56.4% (734)
64.3% (308)
Away
57.5% (717)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Draisaitl
McLeod
P1
55.6%
62.9%
P2
62.1%
64.8%
P3
52.4%
67.9%
OT
61.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |