Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 76.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
50.1% (1,051)
+2.3%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
58.3% (120)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
41.9% (227)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Home
54.5% (778)
49.0% (681)
Away
55.3% (692)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
P1
54.6%
49.9%
P2
56.1%
47.6%
P3
53.3%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
48.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |