Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 64.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 74.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
53.8% (591)
+0.5%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
47.4% (38)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
43.6% (117)
+10.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Draisaitl shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
Home
54.4% (454)
48.2% (307)
Away
57.9% (439)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Draisaitl
Zibanejad
P1
55.2%
54.0%
P2
54.8%
51.0%
P3
57.9%
50.6%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |