Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 62.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 91.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 82.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Last 8: Draisaitl 5-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Draisaitl
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
0
Draisaitl
Rantanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
50.9% (334)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
43.7% (119)
+15.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Home
54.5% (778)
49.4% (241)
Away
55.3% (692)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Draisaitl
Rantanen
P1
54.6%
47.1%
P2
56.1%
46.7%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2023 | OT | 04:10 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |