Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 82.4%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Draisaitl
Rantanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
51.7% (346)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
58.5% (164)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
0.0% (1)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Rantanen
Home
56.4% (734)
55.8% (258)
Away
57.5% (717)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Draisaitl
Rantanen
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
62.1%
56.6%
P3
52.4%
54.3%
OT
61.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |