Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
50.0% (992)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
64.9% (148)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
55.1% (508)
53.3% (591)
Away
58.5% (595)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
55.8%
49.9%
P2
55.7%
53.2%
P3
59.0%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |