Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 38 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 70-56 in 126 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 86.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 72.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 86.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
70
-
56
(126 meetings)
70
56
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
24
14
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
23
25
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
23
17
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
46.1% (11,218)
+6.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
42.8% (502)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
54.6% (7,049)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
52.7%
47.4%
P2
53.6%
46.6%
P3
53.4%
46.1%
OT
57.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |