Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 65.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 87.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
2
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
2
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
44.7% (1,053)
+7.7%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
36.8% (95)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
65.0% (20)
-4.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
54.5% (778)
49.4% (553)
Away
55.3% (692)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
54.6%
45.3%
P2
56.1%
42.7%
P3
53.3%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |