Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 49.1% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Last 8: Draisaitl 2-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (762)
49.3% (1,167)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
61.0% (187)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
47.9% (167)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
54.3% (475)
57.7% (728)
Away
43.9% (497)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
47.5%
50.1%
P2
49.7%
52.5%
P3
50.3%
49.3%
OT
37.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
48.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
49.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |