Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 40-28 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 86.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Draisaitl
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
40
(68 meetings)
28
40
Draisaitl
Bonino
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
19
6
Draisaitl
Bonino
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
22
Draisaitl
Bonino
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
12
Draisaitl
Bonino
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
50.6% (8,315)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
54.1% (972)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
44.6% (1,693)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bonino
Home
54.6% (7,049)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bonino
P1
52.7%
50.6%
P2
53.6%
48.5%
P3
53.4%
51.1%
OT
57.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |