Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Bonino 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Draisaitl
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Draisaitl
Bonino
Last 5: Draisaitl 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Draisaitl
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Draisaitl
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
51.7% (777)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
60.0% (50)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
43.9% (98)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bonino
Home
55.5% (816)
48.2% (461)
Away
51.4% (845)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bonino
P1
51.1%
54.1%
P2
51.6%
49.7%
P3
56.9%
50.7%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |