Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Bonino 50.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 55.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Draisaitl
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Bonino
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Draisaitl
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Draisaitl
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
51.8% (305)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
48.5% (101)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bonino
Home
56.4% (734)
53.1% (177)
Away
57.5% (717)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bonino
P1
55.6%
55.9%
P2
62.1%
49.6%
P3
52.4%
47.6%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |