Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 90.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 82.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
37.7% (53)
+14.7%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
40.9% (44)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
66.7% (3)
-5.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Home
54.5% (778)
34.7% (49)
Away
55.3% (692)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
P1
54.6%
25.9%
P2
56.1%
46.2%
P3
53.3%
42.1%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | OT | 00:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 22, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |