Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 92.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 94.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Last 10: Draisaitl 9-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
38.5% (309)
+18.9%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
53.2% (79)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
25.0% (12)
+29.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
Home
56.4% (734)
38.0% (184)
Away
57.5% (717)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Draisaitl
Schmaltz
P1
55.6%
40.3%
P2
62.1%
39.9%
P3
52.4%
40.7%
OT
61.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |