Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Brown 56.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.9%
Defensive zone
Brown 70.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Draisaitl
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Draisaitl
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Draisaitl
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
61.3% (336)
-8.7%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
50.0% (4)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
45.9% (74)
+3.3%
On even strength, Brown has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Brown
Home
55.5% (816)
61.1% (180)
Away
51.4% (845)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Draisaitl
Brown
P1
51.1%
57.5%
P2
51.6%
58.5%
P3
56.9%
59.2%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |