Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Brown 51.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 52.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 75.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Draisaitl
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Draisaitl
Brown
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
1
Draisaitl
Brown
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
52.8% (284)
-0.4%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
75.0% (4)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
49.0% (51)
+12.0%
On power play, Brown has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Brown
Home
54.5% (778)
53.5% (144)
Away
55.3% (692)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Draisaitl
Brown
P1
54.6%
49.0%
P2
56.1%
48.7%
P3
53.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
52.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |