Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Zacha 52.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 80.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 65.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 69.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Draisaitl
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Draisaitl
Zacha
Last 6: Draisaitl 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
54.1% (534)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
56.0% (109)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
44.8% (96)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Zacha
Home
55.2% (636)
53.4% (406)
Away
53.4% (560)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Draisaitl
Zacha
P1
50.8%
56.8%
P2
56.6%
53.6%
P3
54.0%
49.2%
OT
67.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |