Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Zacha 49.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 25-13 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 80.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 88.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Draisaitl
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
13
(38 meetings)
25
13
Draisaitl
Zacha
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
10
6
Draisaitl
Zacha
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
6
Draisaitl
Zacha
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
13
1
Draisaitl
Zacha
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.9% (5,102)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
55.6% (804)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
42.2% (555)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Zacha
Home
54.6% (7,049)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Draisaitl
Zacha
P1
52.7%
49.9%
P2
53.6%
49.2%
P3
53.4%
48.1%
OT
57.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 21, 2024 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |