Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Donato 45.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 53.8%
Defensive zone
Donato 62.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Draisaitl
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Draisaitl
Donato
Last 5: Draisaitl 2-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
3
Draisaitl
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
43.5% (400)
+10.2%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
48.7% (119)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
33.3% (6)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Donato
Home
55.2% (636)
50.2% (279)
Away
53.4% (560)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Draisaitl
Donato
P1
50.8%
44.6%
P2
56.6%
46.6%
P3
54.0%
42.0%
OT
67.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |