Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Donato 44.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 56.5%
Defensive zone
Donato 52.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Draisaitl
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Draisaitl
Donato
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
3
4
Draisaitl
Donato
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Draisaitl
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
44.2% (1,179)
+8.7%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
46.3% (246)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
36.4% (11)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Donato
Home
54.6% (7,049)
47.2% (743)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Draisaitl
Donato
P1
52.7%
43.4%
P2
53.6%
45.1%
P3
53.4%
44.4%
OT
57.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |