Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 42.9% vs Gagner 47.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Draisaitl
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Draisaitl
Gagner
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (270)
45.6% (651)
-4.1%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
53.8% (119)
-18.2%
On power play, Gagner has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Draisaitl is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gagner
Home
45.1% (164)
47.1% (367)
Away
35.8% (151)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gagner
P1
48.1%
49.6%
P2
34.8%
47.9%
P3
39.4%
43.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |