Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Gagner 52.4% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 60.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Draisaitl
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
76.5% (17)
-19.1%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
28.6% (7)
+27.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gagner
Home
56.4% (734)
75.0% (16)
Away
57.5% (717)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gagner
P1
55.6%
25.0%
P2
62.1%
64.3%
P3
52.4%
83.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%