Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 95.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 95.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 96.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Draisaitl
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
7
(27 meetings)
20
7
Draisaitl
Gagner
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
4
Draisaitl
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
2
Draisaitl
Gagner
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
1
Draisaitl
Gagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
45.4% (4,699)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
51.5% (928)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
35.0% (226)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gagner
Home
54.6% (7,049)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gagner
P1
52.7%
44.6%
P2
53.6%
46.1%
P3
53.4%
47.3%
OT
57.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |