Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs Steel 50.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Draisaitl
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Draisaitl
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
51.3% (195)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
71.4% (7)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
43.2% (37)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Steel
Home
54.4% (454)
50.0% (100)
Away
57.9% (439)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Draisaitl
Steel
P1
55.2%
49.4%
P2
54.8%
48.1%
P3
57.9%
55.9%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |