Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 66.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Draisaitl
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Draisaitl
Steel
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
1
Draisaitl
Steel
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
5
Draisaitl
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
7
Draisaitl
Steel
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
50.6% (2,876)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
62.6% (179)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
37.4% (254)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Steel
Home
54.6% (7,049)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Draisaitl
Steel
P1
52.7%
51.9%
P2
53.6%
49.5%
P3
53.4%
49.6%
OT
57.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |