Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Steel 49.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 62.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 67.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Draisaitl
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Draisaitl
Steel
Last 9: Draisaitl 3-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Draisaitl
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
4
Draisaitl
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
49.3% (383)
+3.3%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
59.1% (22)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
14.3% (7)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Steel
Home
55.5% (816)
49.4% (180)
Away
51.4% (845)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Draisaitl
Steel
P1
51.1%
51.9%
P2
51.6%
43.8%
P3
56.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |