Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 52.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Draisaitl
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Draisaitl
Couturier
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
5
Draisaitl
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
53.8% (1,003)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
56.4% (202)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
42.7% (89)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Couturier
Home
56.4% (734)
54.4% (680)
Away
57.5% (717)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Draisaitl
Couturier
P1
55.6%
56.3%
P2
62.1%
51.8%
P3
52.4%
52.2%
OT
61.5%
60.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |